Host Steve Paikin describes as ‘biggest debacle in Ontario history’
TORONTO — Ontario voters are about to decimate the governing Liberals, who will be stripped of power and even official party status after the ballots are counted June 7, predicts a next-generation pollster interviewed on TV Ontario’s The Agenda last night.
The overall winner of the election is still too early to call between Doug Ford’s PCs and Andrea Horwath’s surging NDP, Advanced Symbolics Inc. CEO Erin Kelly told host Steve Paikin. But her firm’s sophisticated artificial intelligence system — named ‘Polly’ — forecasts an historic, Kim Campbell-like loss for the Kathleen Wynne Liberals.
The technology used by the Ottawa-based firm has previously predicted Justin Trudeau’s 2015 federal election win, the Brexit vote in Britain and Donald Trump’s victory over Hillary Clinton in the 2016 U.S. presidential election.
Wynne is “down to, like, one seat right now; she can get up as high as eight,” Kelly told Paikin on the May 24 program.
“One seat,” she repeated, when asked by the host to restate how many of Ontario’s 124 ridings would be captured by the governing party if an election were held today (yesterday).
She identified Toronto Centre as the single seat that would go Liberal, not even the premier’s own Don Valley West district, handing Wynne a personal defeat under the same circumstances.
“We’ve not seen her above eight seats [this campaign],” she said of the premier and her party.
“Polly, your artificial intelligence, is reflecting the biggest debacle in Ontario history for the Ontario Liberals in this campaign?” observed Paikin to his guest.
“That’s right,” she said, nodding.
Asked by the host if the outcome was now “inalterable” for the Grits, Kelly replied: “Well, yeah, we’re seeing it right now as a race between the NDP and the PCs.” The Tories would “still” win a majority government if an election were held today, she added, because of the “efficiency” of their vote distribution across the province.
“We’re not seeing a path to victory for the Liberals at this point,” she told Paikin.
Polly doesn’t foresee the Grits holding onto the necessary 12 seats to retain official party status in the Legislature, she also told the host.